September 2026: Full Moon Local High Test
Recorded as it happened.
Noted privately on 22 September 2026
and promoted to the public record on 22 September 2026.
Testing if the Full Moon on September 26, 2026, marks a local high in Bitcoin's price.
The registered record
- Observation time
- 22 September 2026, 10:57 UTC
- Hypothesis
- This test is worth recording as it explores the potential correlation between lunar phases and Bitcoin price movements, contributing to our understanding of market dynamics.
- Prediction
- This experiment aims to determine whether the Full Moon on September 26, 2026, marks a local high in Bitcoin's price. We will observe the price action from the Full Moon date (September 26) and up to 4.4 days later (October 1, 2026). The hypothesis is that a local high will form during this window. A local high is defined as a price point that is higher than the prices immediately preceding and following it within the specified time frame. This test is consistent with previous observations that suggest lunar phases may influence market behavior. The strength of the Full Moon's influence will be recorded in advance as context only and is not evidence that a high must occur.
- Confidence / uncertainty
- Moderate, as this is an experimental observation.
- Objective test criteria
- A local high forms in the window from September 26, 2026, to October 1, 2026. A local high qualifies when the price on a given day is higher than the prices on the two preceding days and the two following days.
- Invalidation criteria
- No local high forms in the specified window.
Outcomes are recorded as Consistent, Partially Consistent, Inconsistent,
Invalidated or Inconclusive. We deliberately do not reduce this project to a
win percentage — the numeric data is preserved for later statistical testing.